ZENO'S COFFEEHOUSE Results #13
Here is the problem, as stated in challenge #13. The results follow.
More Options
!
Charles and Maggie have been offered a challenge by the Zeno's staff, which they have passed along to you patrons. Shades of an earlier problem, it concerns thoughts of others' thoughts of others. Here's the problem, and below is your entry form for your selection. This should be interesting indeed, especially in light of earlier trials.
Three boxes are your options, and you are to select one as your choice. Here are the rules:
Choose A, and you will receive $500, if 1/3 of those playing choose A also; otherwise, you receive nothing;
Choose B, and you will receive $2500, if 3/4 of those playing choose B also; otherwise, you receive nothing;
Choose C, and you will receive $1500, if 1/2 of those playing choose C also; otherwise, you receive nothing.
RESULTS: NOBODY RECEIVES ANY MONEY!! Wow! It seems that as divided as the choices were, the required percentages for recipients were not satisfied in any of the three cases...HHHmmm...Any conclusions to be drawn from this???
In any case, I have listed below the responses for your pleasure...enjoy!
From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Sat Jun 7 14:58 EDT 1997
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From: (Sean McKlusky)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by Sean McKlusky () on Saturday, June 7, 1997 at 14:58:43
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username: mcklusky@ix.netcom.com
state: KY
city: Lexington
country: USA
comments: I am not a math wiz
I figure that no matter how I slice it I have a 1 in 3 chance
of winning. I'll let the math wizes come up with a complicated
reason for choosing one over the other... Let the greedy
go for the high number and the uncertain folks go for the
middle of the road... I'm gonna sit here, enjoy my coffee, pick
A and not worry about it (and if I win... I'll leave a big tip which
might just tip the odds in my favor depending upon who is
counting the votes :)
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Jun 10 06:47 EDT 1997
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From: (peter barth)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by peter barth () on Tuesday, June 10, 1997 at 06:47:05
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username: barthp@post.med.uni-marburg.de
city: marburg
country: germany
comments: it doesn´t matter what choice we make! nobody will win!
peter
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Jun 10 08:49 EDT 1997
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From: (Jim Corwin)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by Jim Corwin () on Tuesday, June 10, 1997 at 08:49:22
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username: corwin@adra.com
state: MA
city: Acton
country: USA
comments: I choose C figuring that few people would choose B but figuring
that $1500 versus $500 is worth the extra risk. Possibly,
most others will figure like me.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Jun 10 09:38 EDT 1997
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From: (Stephen Satris)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by Stephen Satris () on Tuesday, June 10, 1997 at 09:38:10
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username: Stephen@Clemson.edu
state: SC
city: Clemson
country: USA
comments: I'd choose Box B. I stand to receive the greatest amount of money that way and it's not unreasonable to suppose that
3/4 of those who respond would also choose Box B. It is very significant for me that whether I choose a low pay-off box, like
Box A, or a high pay-off box like Box B, I do not take a risk of losing any money at all. Both are free. I'd play the game
where I could win more, provided that it is not unreasonable to expect some behavior from the others. And I think that
expecting 75% of them to choose Box B is not unreasonable.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Jun 10 17:12 EDT 1997
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From: (gayle)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by gayle () on Tuesday, June 10, 1997 at 17:11:58
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username: art@instantlink.com
state: NJ
country: USA
comments: B
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Thu Jun 12 10:59 EDT 1997
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From: (Mark Young)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by Mark Young () on Thursday, June 12, 1997 at 10:59:00
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username: mark.young@acadiau.ca
state: NS
city: Wolfville
country: Canada
comments: B.
In the earlier versions of the two-item choice, 80 to 90%
of the people chose the highest payoff, in spite of it being
virtually unattainable. If we repeat that performance,
we'll get the big prize, since it requires only 75% of the
people to choose it.
My only concern is that the people who take this challenge
might generalize from the earlier ones incorrectly, and
decide that the maximum payoff is unachievable in general,
so they should go with a smaller payoff. But then should
they choose A or C? Hard to say. But with a 50-50 split
between them, we'd need less than one third of the people to
choose B before even A pays off. I don't think *that* is
very likely, so I'm going to stick with B.
....mark young
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Thu Jun 12 13:15 EDT 1997
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by () on Thursday, June 12, 1997 at 13:15:10
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country: USA
comments: B. Most Peolpe will choose this one, so why not 75%?
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Jun 13 19:14 EDT 1997
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From: (Matthew Belcher)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by Matthew Belcher () on Friday, June 13, 1997 at 19:14:35
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username: matt@sunweb.com
state: FL
city: Largo
url: www.geocities.com/SouthBeach/Lights/8502/
country: USA
comments: I would definately choose choice B. Why? Because any rational person would choose the most money, regardless of the
percentage. I believe most people are rational and/or greedy, and would thus choose choice B.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Sat Jun 14 21:13 EDT 1997
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From: (nwatkins)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by nwatkins () on Saturday, June 14, 1997 at 21:13:23
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state: il
city: chicago
country: USA
comments: vote for B.
Sufficient to have just one real Chicagoan vote [early and often], so I am assuming one will. On the assumption that at least
one district attorney will read the results, no URL is provided.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Sun Jun 15 13:12 EDT 1997
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From: (arpfaff)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by arpfaff () on Sunday, June 15, 1997 at 13:12:22
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country: USA
comments: choice b
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Mon Jun 16 08:12 EDT 1997
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From: (Lou Marinoff)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by Lou Marinoff () on Monday, June 16, 1997 at 08:12:13
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username: marinoff@cnct.com
state: NJ
city: Jersey City
url: www.cnct.com/home/marinoff/
country: USA
comments: I choose "C", for no sophisticated reasons (yet).
It just looks like the best bet, like Aristotle's
"golden mean", or Buddha's "middle way".
Cheers, Lou
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Mon Jun 16 08:12 EDT 1997
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From: (Lou Marinoff)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by Lou Marinoff () on Monday, June 16, 1997 at 08:12:13
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username: marinoff@cnct.com
state: NJ
city: Jersey City
url: www.cnct.com/home/marinoff/
country: USA
comments: I choose "C", for no sophisticated reasons (yet).
It just looks like the best bet, like Aristotle's
"golden mean", or Buddha's "middle way".
Cheers, Lou
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Mon Jun 16 17:54 EDT 1997
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Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 17:54:03 -0400 (EDT)
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From: (Varela Maria)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by Varela Maria () on Monday, June 16, 1997 at 17:54:03
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city: Thessaloniki
url: html
country: Greece
comments: I choose A because there are more chances for me to win that way.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Mon Jun 16 20:37 EDT 1997
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From: (Rob Hrehor)
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username: rhrehor@grits.valdosta.peachnet.edu
state: GA
city: snellville
country: USA
comments: I'm going to win $500! Send me my money in small bills, no I take that back. Pay fall quarter's tuition with it.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Jun 17 06:52 EDT 1997
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From: (Jim Roach)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by Jim Roach () on Tuesday, June 17, 1997 at 06:52:41
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username: broach@acsu.buffalo.edu
state: ny
city: Buffalo
country: USA
comments: Choose C
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Thu Jun 19 13:26 EDT 1997
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From: (CMalFet)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by CMalFet () on Thursday, June 19, 1997 at 13:26:33
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username: CMalFet@aol.com
state: Fl
city: Jacksonville
country: USA
comments: The best choice would depend on how many players were playing the game. Note that the question says that winning
depends on an exact number of people responding in the same way you do. For example, to win the $2,500 prize, EXACTLY 3/4 of
the people must pick that box, not 3/4 or more. In such a case, if there were 6 other players, then choosing the prize which
requires EXACTLY 3/4 of the other players to respond would be foolish since 4 1/2 people would have to choose the same box as
you and it is unlikely that 1/2 a person will be able to choose ANY box, much less the one you might like them to.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Thu Jun 19 15:45 EDT 1997
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From: (Amy Medlin)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by Amy Medlin () on Thursday, June 19, 1997 at 15:45:09
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username: rmedlin@sheltonlink.com
state: MO
city: Caruthersville
country: USA
comments: I choose C
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Jun 20 20:52 EDT 1997
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From: (Sarah Muntz)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by Sarah Muntz () on Friday, June 20, 1997 at 20:52:41
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username: ganna@power.zepa.net
state: CA
city: San Diego
url: http://www.valdosta.edu/~smuntz
country: USA
comments: C
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Sat Jun 21 14:21 EDT 1997
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From: (Mike J Hirst)
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Below is the result of your feedback form. It was submitted by Mike J Hirst () on Saturday, June 21, 1997 at 14:21:31
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username: 100125.3062@compuserve.com
city: Chester
country: GBR
comments: A
Hey - we aren't greedy!
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Sun Jun 22 04:05 EDT 1997
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From: (Pedro Gomez)
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username: quake@foreigner.class.udg.mx
state: Jal
city: Guadalajara
country: Mexico
comments: Box "B"... going by the old golden rule, I would like
everyone else to choose that one for me :)
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Sun Jun 22 23:45 EDT 1997
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From: (Jared Casper)
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username: jcasper@xmission.com
state: UT
city: Sandy
url: www.amazing3d.com
country: USA
comments: I'd choose C
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Wed Jun 25 16:12 EDT 1997
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From: (Jaci Pierce)
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username: japierce@indiana.edu
state: IN
city: Bloomington
country: USA
comments: I choose box A
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Sat Jun 28 14:34 EDT 1997
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username: stpruden@grits.peachnet.valdosta.edu
state: GA
city: Valdosta
country: USA
comments: I'll take choice A.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Sat Jun 28 17:31 EDT 1997
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username: 8627688@mcs.net
state: IL
city: Chicago
country: USA
comments: C has the highest average payout of $750.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Mon Jun 30 08:18 EDT 1997
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username: em55910@uta.fi
city: Tampere
url: www.uta.fi/~em55910
country: Finland
comments: Choose C
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Jul 1 13:54 EDT 1997
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username: malman@peachnet.campus.mci.net
state: GA
city: Valdosta
url: www.valdosta.edu/~mallman/me.htm
country: USA
comments: box C
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Jul 1 14:19 EDT 1997
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From: (David Shein)
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username: dshein@email.gc.cuny.edu
state: NY
city: NYC
country: USA
comments: Choice A. Assuming all choosers are choosing in ignorance
that is, they are none of them in cahoots with each other),
then it is a purely random matter as to which option is
chosen by whom. Each option has an equal chance of being
chosen. Given that there are three choices, each option is
given a 1/3 chance of being chosen. So (a) is the best bet.
They pay-off isn't as big, but the chances of hitting it
are greater ... I think.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Wed Jul 2 17:12 EDT 1997
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From: (Adam Wager)
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username: wager@rci.rutgers.edu
state: NJ
city: New Brunswick
country: USA
comments: Choice C
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Thu Jul 3 12:25 EDT 1997
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From: (mike Shurtleff)
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username: mashurtl@grits.valdosta.peachent.edu
state: GA
city: valdosta
url: www.valdosta.edu/~mashurtl
country: USA
comments: B.
question is based soley on greed. Humans are by nature greedy. nothing can be lost since the party gives nothing in the
begining. the only logical answer can be B.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Mon Jul 7 13:50 EDT 1997
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state: co
city: Boulder
country: USA
comments: B
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Jul 8 14:07 EDT 1997
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username: malman@peachnet.campus.mci.net
state: GA
city: Valdosta
url: www.valdosta.edu/~mallman/phil.htm
country: USA
comments: Box A
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Jul 8 19:54 EDT 1997
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From: (Bachus)
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username: bachus@rdc-cybersign.com
url: http://www.premier.net/~cyberjox/bachus/
country: USA
comments: There are two possible answers. If the rules are taken precisely as
stated, and exactly 1/3, 3/4, or 1/2 of the people have to choose
either A, B, or C, then it wouldn't matter what you picked. It is human
nature not only to try to win, but also to win the most. Therefore everybody would
pick Choice B, it giving the most money. This would exceed the 3/4 limit, and everbody
would get nothing, no matter what you choose. In situation two, then the 3/4 limit
would be taken as a minimum. If more than 3/4 choose B, then they would still win.
Everybody would again pick B, and if you picked B, you would win $2500 just like
everybody else, or nothing at all.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Thu Jul 10 05:17 EDT 1997
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From: (Frank)
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username: guardian@gte.net
state: Fl
city: St. Pete
country: USA
comments: I would choose A. I believe that the people who frequent this site are a more discerning crowd
than you find elsewhere. I believe that enough would be familiar with the results from earlier
challenges and choose the lesser amount. I don't have any calculus to back that up, but I
believe that the bias that exists from the previous challenges would incline people to choose
for the "sure" (ha-ha) thing. Plus, a conciliation prize of $500 is nothing to sneeze at. With a
$1, $5 and $10 prize I would choose B simply for the fact it's such little money. Raise the stakes
to $500,000, $1,000,000 and $5,000,000 and see the results (and how about paying out once in a while?).
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Jul 11 13:56 EDT 1997
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From: (Erin Dow)
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username: dmitri@aztec.asu.edu
state: AZ
country: USA
comments: B
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Sat Jul 12 17:39 EDT 1997
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From: (Christina Gaines)
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username: gainesct@plu.edu
state: WWWwa
city: Tacoma
country: USA
comments: i will choose option c.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Mon Jul 14 17:54 EDT 1997
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Date: Tue, 4 Feb 1997 14:29:06 -0500 (EST)
Message-Id: <199702041929.OAA05201@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu>
To: rbarnett@grits.valdosta.peachnet.edu
From: (Marieke Keller)
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username: marieke_keller@stortek.com
state: CO
city: Louisville
country: USA
comments: I think that Charlie should stay with the envelope he has
now. By staying with 'A' he is guaranteed a minimum of
$50 and a glass of water on May 6, 1997. By switching to
'C', he is guaranteed a minimum of a glass of water. The
$50 could buy coffee for a little while if the coupon in
'A' is for water. You could play a lot of mind games trying
to figure out what Rob (the manager) is thinking by making
the offer. But, I think that it would be a waste of time
and an increase in stress. Stay with 'A', Charlie!!!
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Jul 15 18:53 EDT 1997
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Message-Id: <199707152253.SAA01940@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu>
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From: (Scott E. Sellars)
Subject: Submitted Form
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username: scott1@surfsouth.com
state: GA
city: Lakeland
country: USA
comments: Choice: A
The 1/3 gives everyone a better chance of getting the "money" since 1/3 is a lot less that 1/2.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Wed Jul 16 11:57 EDT 1997
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To: rbarnett@grits.valdosta.peachnet.edu
From: (D Kerman)
Subject: Submitted Form
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username: dkerman@lsac.org
state: PA
country: USA
comments: I don't quite understand the question -- do you mean (e.g.) if exactly 1/3 choose A, or if at least 1/3 choose A? If
it's the former, I don't have a good story about which to pick. But if it's the latter, I pick B. I know that everyone else
will be able to tell that if we all pick B, we all get the most, and I figure each of them also know that. So I figure everyone
will pick B, so I will pick B and get $2500.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Thu Jul 17 08:09 EDT 1997
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Message-Id: <199707171209.IAA05057@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu>
To: rbarnett@grits.valdosta.peachnet.edu
From: (Roberto Chavez)
Subject: Submitted Form
Content-Type: text
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---------------------------------------------------------------------------
username: roberto@sans.vuw.ac.nz
city: Wellington
country: New Zealand
comments: My choice would be box A in order to reduce risk. To be successful with the other boxes would depend on a pronounced
bias of the players toward those boxes (B more than C). This scenario is possible if the universe of players is risk taking.
This situation may be compounded by the allure of the greater reward contained in boxes B and C. But, there is the following
situation: If indeed 3 out of 4 players choose box B, Is the prize pool big enough to cover the amount due?
It doesn't make sense from the organiser's point of view.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Jul 22 09:02 EDT 1997
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country: Ireland
comments: B
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Jul 22 11:34 EDT 1997
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From: (Stephen W. Adair)
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username: SWAdair@aol.com
state: NC
city: Raleigh
country: USA
comments: I would choose option B. In single-iteration challenges of this nature, many people seem to think that not everyone
will choose the maximum-payoff option. They then choose a less-than-optimal option so they aren't left out in the cold.
Self-fulfilling prophecy. I've never understood that sort of mentality. This is based less on mathematics than on psychology.
Everyone, in all future challenges of this nature, CHOOSE THE MAXIMUM $ AMOUNT OPTION!
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Wed Jul 23 16:16 EDT 1997
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From: (Tony)
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username: aokeeffe@bellarmine.edu
state: ky
city: Louisville
country: USA
comments: B.
Being an English teacher (rather than a philosopher--"The unexamined life is not worth living; on the other hand, the examined
life doesn't generate much income") nor an economist ("Show me the money!"), I chose option B based on my approach to the
lottery. I'm certainly above indulging in anything as unlikely and as venal at the lottery--but sure, I'll buy a ticket when it
goes above $50,000,000.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Jul 25 00:04 EDT 1997
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From: (Jayson Anderson)
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username: jaanderson@mail.datasys.net
state: GA
city: Valdosta
country: USA
comments: I choose B. I guess I am doing this right.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Jul 25 09:58 EDT 1997
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From: (Ayan George)
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username: ageorge@valdosta.edu
state: GA
city: Thomasville
url: http://www.valdosta.edu/~ageorge/
country: USA
comments: Assuming 3/4 means at least 3/4 or 3/4 or more, I'd select
box C. First, I, like everyone else, would want the most
money. The chances of me getting the most money is
dependent on others wanting a lot of money too. The likely
hood of 3/4 of the people wanting $2500 is pretty high. If
everyone thinks about it for a while, they'll realize we'll
all will get $2500 they pick box B.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Jul 25 11:06 EDT 1997
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username: sneezy@cyberspace.org
state: GA
city: Valdosta
url: http://www.geocities.com/CollegePark/3192/
country: USA
comments: A... do we really get the money?
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Jul 25 12:22 EDT 1997
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username: tfray@valdosta.edu
state: GA
city: Valdosta
url: http://www.valdosta.edu/~tfray
country: USA
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Jul 25 12:24 EDT 1997
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username: tfray@valdosta.edu
state: GA
city: Valdosta
url: http://www.valdosta.edu/~tfray
country: USA
comments: I choose box number one. I believe most people would go for the sure thing of A. They would realize that being greedy
in this case would end up making them loose out on the money.
TOM
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Mon Jul 28 01:28 EDT 1997
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username: Carol9736@aol.com
state: OH
city: Wooster
country: USA
comments: My choice is B.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Mon Aug 4 14:58 EDT 1997
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username: kend@ecst.csuchico.edu
state: CA
city: Roseville
url: http://www.ecst.csuchico.edu/~kend/potw
country: USA
comments: B.
The original Challenge showed that most wanted the big
payoff - and this allows for most (not all) to choose it.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Sun Aug 10 15:05 EDT 1997
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From: (Laura E. Cody)
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username: martint@ktc.com
state: Tx
city: Kerrville
country: USA
comments: I will choose C, however I get the distinct impression from
the wording that exactly 1/3, 3/4, or 1/2 must choose to win
anything at all, ergo, the odds of winning are slim to none.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Aug 15 07:33 EDT 1997
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username: phl5lbc@leeds.ac.uk
city: Leeds
url: ?? University of Leeds, West Yorkshire
country: UK
comments: C Emm?? I really do not know why but this is not about logic is it?
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Aug 15 22:32 EDT 1997
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username: vdkr87c
state: Fl
city: Merritt Island
url: N/A
country: USA
comments: A
Maby people ought to examine odds, and chances of other people picking what more people will pick.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Sun Aug 24 21:25 EDT 1997
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From: (Emma Osman)
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username: eosman@cybergraphic.com.au
state: VIC
city: Melbourne
url: www.civag.unimelb.edu.au/~eosm
country: Australia
comments: I choose box A.
The reason - considering the outcome of previous tests,
I think that the complexity of the decision-making process
here is large enough that people will be choosing between the
three boxes pretty-much randomly. That being the case, for
groups larger than a dozen or so, there is hardly any chance
of getting 1/2 the people choosing the same box, let alone
3/4 ! Box A is the only one where there is any possibility
of getting _any_ money - the sums involved become irrelevant.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Wed Aug 27 05:33 EDT 1997
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From: (tomas nittner)
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username: nittner@metronet.de
city: munich
country: germany
comments: i choose a because odds are in its favour
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Aug 29 15:15 EDT 1997
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From: (fernando mabini, jr)
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username: fmabini@mail.utep.edu
state: tx
city: el paso
country: USA
comments: c
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Sat Aug 30 01:06 EDT 1997
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---------------------------------------------------------------------------
username: shyann@northcoast.com
state: Ca
city: Eureka
country: USA
comments: I Choose B. The choice is clear. Most everyone
likes a gamble, and almost everyone is greedy.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Sat Aug 30 18:46 EDT 1997
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From: (Nicholas Webb)
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---------------------------------------------------------------------------
username: sterntor@hotmail.com
state: TX
city: San Antonio
url: none
country: USA
comments: box A
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Mon Sep 1 14:52 EDT 1997
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From: (John Pruden)
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---------------------------------------------------------------------------
username: pruden@datasys.net
state: GA
city: Valdosta
url: www.datasys.net
country: USA
comments: Choice B. People are inherently greedy.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Wed Sep 3 14:37 EDT 1997
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From: (Micah B. Weedman)
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username: mbweedman0@mcnet.milligan.edu
state: TN
city: Johnson City
country: USA
comments: A
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Thu Sep 4 16:42 EDT 1997
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Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:42:44 -0400 (EDT)
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From: (Becky DeHart)
Subject: Submitted Form
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username: boodles@rocketmail.com
state: OH
city: Troy
country: USA
comments: I would choose B. If everyone thought the way I do they would choose the
choice with the most money. Why not? Of course that's assuming
they're not all skeptics.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Sep 5 10:29 EDT 1997
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Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 10:29:22 -0400 (EDT)
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From: (Thomas H.)
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country: Norway
comments: I choose "C"
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Sep 9 14:19 EDT 1997
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Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 14:18:46 -0400 (EDT)
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From: (jim skidmore)
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username: skid0002@gold.tc.umn.edu
state: mn
city: minneapolis
country: USA
comments: I would choose B. B offers the greatest reward, and I see no reason to choose one of the others over it. For example,
I see no reason to believe that the probability of 3/4 of others choosing B along with me is lower than the probabilities
involved in A and C. In fact, if all parties are similarly rational, they should make the same choice, so that it is likely
that no one will receive anything. Still, I would choose B, since it offers the highest reward.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Tue Sep 9 16:08 EDT 1997
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Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 16:07:51 -0400 (EDT)
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From: (Kyle Calderhead)
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username: chead@math.umn.edu
state: MN
city: Minneapolis
country: USA
comments: B
-- If we were playing for real money, everybody would pick B
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Wed Sep 10 09:39 EDT 1997
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Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:39:43 -0400 (EDT)
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From: (melissa)
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state: pa
city: lititz
country: USA
comments: I chose B because if 1/3 chose A,3/4 chose B,and 1/2 chose C
most people would go for the lesser fraction. I am taking a risk.
:)
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Sep 12 23:34 EDT 1997
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Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:34:04 -0400 (EDT)
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From: (Stephanie)
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username: SAand2
state: CCO
city: Boulder
country: USA
comments: I would choose B people are natually greedy and in past questions like this poeple have chosen the highest dollar
amount by 80%+ so pick the most money.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Mon Sep 15 20:40 EDT 1997
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Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 20:40:07 -0400 (EDT)
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From: (Jordan Myers)
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username: jmyers01@asu.edu
state: AZ
city: Tempe
country: USA
comments: Box A. Since it would cost me nothing to play, the profit percentage would be infinite in all cases. Therefore, I
choose the one with the highest chance to win.
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Thu Sep 18 16:01 EDT 1997
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Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 16:01:39 -0400 (EDT)
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From: (Michael Ramsay)
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username: mjrst20+@pitt.edu
state: Pa
city: Pittsburgh
url: http://www.pitt.edu/~mjrst20
country: USA
comments: I choose B: Since the options are solely based on the number of people making the same choice
I am, then why not bet on the high rollers. To lose, 25% of the participants must be so
cowardly as to hedge there bets on the lower amounts, even when they are risking nothing.
(I grant, a reasonable possibility, but too dissapointing to think about.)
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Sep 19 00:20 EDT 1997
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Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 00:20:06 -0400 (EDT)
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From: (Kate Geyer)
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username: kgeyer@student.umass.edu
state: MA
city: Amherst
country: USA
comments: My choice is B!!!!!
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From nobody@gumbo.valdosta.peachnet.edu Fri Sep 19 10:10 EDT 1997
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Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:10:35 -0400 (EDT)
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From: (Jeff Queen)
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username: jjqueen@valdosta.edu
state: GA
city: Valdosta
country: USA
comments: I choose A.
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